The latest polling data from Techne UK reveals a concerning trend for Keir Starmer’s Labour Party. Since coming into power, Labour’s support has plummeted to less than 30%, with voters aged 55 and over abandoning the party in droves. This decline in support has not been capitalized on by the Tories, who are still undecided on a new leader and have only seen a slight increase in their own support.
Amidst the chaos, Starmer’s decision to remove winter fuel payments for pensioners has sparked outrage among older voters. This demographic, traditionally a stronghold for Labour, is now turning towards the Tories and even Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party. In fact, for the first time since the election, Labour is trailing behind both the Tories and Reform UK in the 55 to 64 and 65 and over age groups.
The recent appointment of Morgan McSweeney as chief of staff has not quelled the discontent within the party. Reports of potential tax hikes and ongoing controversies have further eroded public confidence in Labour’s ability to govern effectively. With over a quarter of previous Labour voters now stating they would not support the party again, it is clear that significant changes are needed to regain lost ground.
Techne UK’s chief executive, Michela Morizzo, highlights the precarious position Labour finds itself in. The lack of unity on the right side of the political spectrum is the only thing keeping Labour afloat at this point. Should the Tories and Reform UK align their efforts, Labour would face an even steeper uphill battle to regain voter trust.
As the countdown to the next general election continues, all eyes are on the upcoming Conservative leadership election and the potential shift in political dynamics that could follow. With Labour’s support dwindling and anger brewing among older voters, the path ahead remains uncertain for Keir Starmer and his party. It remains to be seen how Labour will navigate these challenges and whether they can stage a comeback in the eyes of the electorate.