Since becoming prime minister on 5 July, Sir Keir Starmer has been carefully strategizing for the upcoming US election. He has taken a twin-track approach by meeting with both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, preparing for two very different scenarios depending on the election outcome.
If Kamala Harris wins, it would be a dream scenario for Labour. Both she and Sir Keir share similar backgrounds as former prosecutors and align ideologically on many key issues. This potential relationship could mirror the special bond between Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, strengthening ties between the UK and US.
On the other hand, Starmer and his team have been preparing for the possibility of a second term for Donald Trump. Knowing the challenges that a Trump presidency could bring, they have been working to “Trump-proof” support for Ukraine, ensuring continued aid and NATO application support. However, the legal case brought by the Trump campaign over Labour’s assistance to Ms. Harris may complicate these efforts.
In addition to Ukraine, Starmer is also concerned about potential shifts in US policy towards the Middle East and Taiwan under a Trump presidency. The impact on trade deals with the UK is also uncertain, as Trump’s isolationist tendencies could go either way in terms of imposing tariffs or offering a trade deal.
Furthermore, the potential influence of a Trump presidency on UK politics and Europe is a major consideration for Starmer. If Trump visits Nigel Farage’s Clacton constituency, it could boost right-wing politics in the UK, which is already facing challenges after a tumultuous summer.
Overall, Sir Keir Starmer is navigating a complex political landscape in preparation for the US election outcome. His meetings with both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump reflect a strategic approach to ensure that the UK is prepared for any scenario that may unfold in the coming months. As the election draws near, the implications of a Trump or Harris victory will have far-reaching consequences for the UK and its relationships with the US and Europe.
